Drone reset

What Will Putin do Next After the Apparent Provocation Against NATO?



Keir Giles has spent his career watching, studying, and explaining Russia. Keir’s work has appeared in a wide range of academic …

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23 Comments

  1. FYI – Charlie Kirk was not a pundit. He was an activist trying to encourage rational discussion of ideas on college campuses and motivating American youth to engage and be educated on the political issues of the day. Certain quarters in Europe may not care or understand what is going on in America, but it is a very significant event. I realize that the concept of free speech in Europe is a bit foreign or at least misunderstood but its a big deal in America and enshrined in our constitution.

  2. I’ve been expecting Russian drones in NATO countries for over a year. Putin is going to show the alliance that article 5 doesn’t really exist. He will do so by showing that no one knows what triggers article 5, no one agrees on what triggers article 5, and no one wants article 5 triggered in the first place. He just needs to slowly get NATO used to doing nothing in response to his escalations, and he will therefore escalate slowly and incrementally over several years. By the end of 3-5 years of this incremental escalation, the only response to attacks on NATO members will be from the country attacked. The alliance will no longer meaningfully exist.

    It doesn’t have to be this way. NATO could respond to every escalation with its own escalation and save the alliance. But Putin is betting they won’t.

  3. no fly zone is not going to happen because of our weak, disjointed, uncoordinated, fear-full leadership……………PATHETIC…………………..so consequently such provocation will be repeated and escalated further striping away unity of NATO………………MORE FAILURE FROM WEST IN THIS WAR

  4. Moving directly onward with the next phase of "project Putin" , the idiot squad of professional warmongers are picking the next targets before the smoke clears. Had these brave men had to invest themselves in any actual fighting they would surely be making different noises with their meely mouths. Aren't you commentators sick of it by now?

  5. The crises we see around the world are not random — they are part of a wider pattern of authoritarian states exploiting chaos:
    From Russia’s invasion of Ukraine to ongoing conflicts in the Middle East.
    At the same time, political rhetoric at home has become dangerously selective, amplifying some tragedies while ignoring others, turning grief into a weapon.

    Even more disturbing is the push to block the release of the Epstein files. Secrecy on this scale erodes trust and raises a critical question: whose interests are being protected — ordinary citizens, or the powerful?

    This is not about partisanship. It is about safeguarding democracy itself: free speech, accountability and the rule of law. If we remain silent while fear and secrecy dominate, we risk losing the very freedoms that define us.
    Transparency is not optional — it is essential.

  6. Thank you Keir Giles and yourself for such a brilliant insight into the Polish attack. Nothing has come close as this to shining light on it. If the Kremlin were caught off guard during the aftermath of the attack then who planned and organised the attack. Are there more agencies than the Kremlin, exposing themselves?

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